Does Currency Depreciation Affect Capital Market Performance? Reflections from Nigeria
- Ozigbo Aigbogun. Sylvester
- DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21460204
- ISA Journal of Business, Economics and Management (ISAJBEM)
For a couple of years, there has been a debate as to
whether currency depreciation affects stock market performance. This study was carried out to investigate
this phenomenon and determine the extent to which this is true. The study utilizes the expost facto research
design method since the data involved are secondary data drawn from the Central
Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulletin and annual reports of the Nigeria stock
exchange. The period span form 1994 –
2024 and the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) as well as descriptive and correlation
matrix were utilized to analyse the data.
The data were also subjected to pairwise granger causality test to show
any unidirectional or bidirectional relationship of the variables. The results
shows that exchange rate was negatively significant to currency depreciation
while others were positively significant within the period of the study/. It was therefore recommended among others
that the federal government should implement robust monetary policy focused on
stabilizing the naira to avoid sharp exchange rate volatility and currency
depreciation which could impact capital market adversely due to capital flight.
Keywords: Market
Capitalization, Prime Lending rate, Exchange Rate, Inflation, External Reserve.