Effect of Poverty and Underdevelopment in Nigeria
- Leonard Terver Thomas, Kenneth Ahwi
- DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21273236
- ISA Journal of Business, Economics and Management (ISAJBEM)
This study examines the relationship between the indices
of underdevelopment and poverty in Nigeria by analyzing the effect of key
development indicators such as; per capita income, infrastructural development,
life expectancy, and educational attainment that served as the independent
variables on poverty rate as the dependent variable over the period 1981 to
2025. The study adopts a quantitative research framework and employs
time-series data sourced from relevant national and international databases. The
Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modeling technique is utilized to capture
both short-run and long-run dynamics among the variables, given their mixed
orders of integration. The ARDL bounds test confirms the existence of a
long-run cointegrating relationship between poverty and the selected indicators
of underdevelopment in Nigeria. Empirical results show that per capita income
has a poverty-reducing effect, particularly in the short run, although its
long-run impact is weakened by structural factors within the economy.
Infrastructural development exhibits a significant relationship with poverty,
but the mixed signs of the coefficients suggest that infrastructure investments
have not been sufficiently inclusive or pro-poor. Life expectancy demonstrates a
strong and statistically significant negative relationship with poverty in both
the short and long run, highlighting the importance of health outcomes in
poverty reduction. Educational attainment is found to be significant in the
long run, though its limited effectiveness in reducing poverty reflects
challenges such as poor education quality and skills mismatch. The study
concludes that poverty and underdevelopment in Nigeria are mutually
reinforcing. It recommends inclusive growth strategies, improved infrastructure
targeting, sustained investment in health and education, and stronger
institutional frameworks to achieve sustainable poverty reduction and
development.
Keywords: Poverty,
Underdevelopment, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), Infrastructural
development, Nigeria.