Federal Government Budget Implementation on Economic Growth in Nigeria (1999 – 2023)
- Emotongha Baff Bekeboh, Daw Godwin Omeremu
- DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.21109398
- ISA Journal of Business, Economics and Management (ISAJBEM)
The study examined the impact of federal government
budget implantation on economic growth in Nigeria. The specific objectives of
the study were to determine the impact of capital expenditure implementation,
recurrent expenditure implementation and external debt on economic growth in
Nigeria. The study adopted ex-post facto research design which enabled time
series data to be obtained from the Statistical Bulletin of Central Bank of
Nigeria for the period of 25years, spanning from 1999 – 2023. The study
conducted unit root test using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) on both the
dependent and independent variables to validate the data and ensure reliable
regression results. The study also conducted descriptive statistics in order to
determine the individual characteristics of the research variables. Ordinary
least square (OLS) Multiple Regression Analysis was employed to estimate the
impact of the components of budget implementation employed in the study on
economic growth at 0.05 level of significance. The results of the regression
analysis showed that both capital and recurrent expenditures exerted positive
and significant impact on economic growth of Nigeria; while external debt had
negative and significant impact on the growth of the Nigerian economy. The
implication of these findings is that the positive impact of capital and
recurrent expenditures cannot sustain the growth of the Nigerian economy
without adequate fiscal discipline that would address the challenges of excess
debt accumulation in Nigeria. The study recommended that government should
prioritize the implementation of capital and recurrent expenditures as
contained in the budget; and that every debt should be project linked.
Keywords: Federal government budget implementation, Economic growth, Capital expenditure, Recurrent expenditure, External debt.