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Moderating Effect of Meter Penetration on the Relationship between Collection Loss and Financial Performance of Electricity Distribution Companies in Nigeria

This study investigates the moderating effect of meter penetration on the relationship between collection losses and the financial performance of electricity distribution companies (DISCOs) in Nigeria. The research employs both quantitative and qualitative methodologies to analyze data from all 11 DISCOs operating in the country. An ex-post facto research design is adopted, using a census sampling technique to ensure comprehensive data collection from all relevant stakeholders, including DISCOs, regulatory authorities, and customers. The study applies descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, and regression analysis to assess the relationships between energy accounting losses, meter penetration, and financial performance. The focus of the study is on energy accounting losses, which include technical, commercial, and collection losses, and the role of meter penetration in mitigating these challenges. With energy losses in Nigeria exceeding 40%, especially due to high commercial and collection losses, meter penetration is viewed as a critical factor for improving billing accuracy and reducing revenue leakage. The National Mass Metering Program (NMMP) and Meter Asset Provider (MAP) initiatives are central to addressing the metering gap, yet meter penetration remains low, particularly in rural and underserved areas. This lack of adequate metering infrastructure contributes significantly to the financial instability of DISCOs. To explore the relationship between meter penetration and financial performance, the study uses regression models to examine the moderating role of meter penetration on the relationship between collection losses and financial outcomes. The regression analysis reveals that meter penetration significantly moderates this relationship, helping to reduce the adverse effects of collection losses on DISCOs’ financial performance. The results suggest that increasing meter penetration can enhance revenue collection and financial sustainability, offering valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders in the Nigerian electricity sector.

Keywords: Meter penetration, Collection losses, financial performance, Electricity distribution companies, Nigeria electricity sector.