Weibull-Based Process Capability Modeling for Construction Quality Control under Non-Normality: A Reliability–Statistical Framework
- Umah Chikadibia Alfred1; Onyemachi U. C.2; David C. Chikezie2 & Nnah Bright Ahuraezemma2
- DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.23942735
- ISA Journal of Engineering and Technology (ISAJET)
Conventional
process capability indices (Cp, Cpk) assume normality and can yield misleading
assessments when construction quality data exhibit skewness and heavy tails.
This study develops a Weibull-based capability framework integrating
distribution-specific assessment, failure probability, reliability estimation,
and bootstrap validation. The methodology was evaluated on 149 concrete
compressive strength records with a 20 MPa lower specification limit (LSL).
Normality tests confirmed significant departure from normality (p < 0.001).
Maximum likelihood estimation yielded Weibull shape and scale parameters of
15.6992 and 24.5448. The resulting Weibull Reliability Capability Index (WRCI)
was 0.5059, contrasting sharply with the conventional lower capability index
(Cpl = 1.0508). The Weibull model revealed a 3.94% nonconformance probability
(96.06% reliability). Bootstrap validation (1,000 replications) confirmed
metric stability (95% CI: 0.4472–0.6163). The framework provides an accurate,
risk-informed quality control alternative without requiring normalizing
transformations.
Keywords: concrete compressive strength; process
capability; Weibull distribution; non-normality; reliability; failure
probability; bootstrap; construction quality control.
